Fierce fighting in Donbass and surrounding regions in 2024 has likely determined the outcome.
The Russia-Ukraine war has taken many surprising turns. In 2022, few could have foreseen the fierce resistance Kiev would mount. By the end of that year, public sentiment had swung dramatically, portraying Russian soldiers as incompetent and ill-equipped to handle the realities of modern warfare. The prevailing Western assumption was that the Ukrainian army, bolstered by NATO training and support, would achieve decisive victories.
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