The Nagorno-Karabakh peace deal amounts to a triumph of Russian diplomacy, miraculously turning a lose-lose mess into win-win. The key now will be to make it stick, as Armenia licks its wounds and a triumphant Azerbaijan gloats.
On Monday morning, things were not looking good for Russia’s position in the southern Caucasus. For several weeks war had been raging between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the breakaway province of Nagorno-Karabakh. Armenia, like Russia, is a member of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, making it in effect Russia’s ally. But Armenia was losing the war, and losing it badly.
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